Thursday, August 21, 2008

The Long Range Forecast

MaineToday.com published an AP report today previewing the weather predictions of The Farmer's Almanac and while I don't pay much attention to forecasts that guess the weather further out than a day or two, it is something to talk about. After all, one thing Ive 'noticed about motorcycle enthusiasts, if we're not talking about rides we're talking about the weather.

The MaineToday.com wrote, "The almanac's 2009 edition, which goes on sale Tuesday, says at least two-thirds of the country can expect colder than average temperatures, with only the Far West and Southeast in line for near-normal readings." Entire article is here.

That last part is probably good news for those riders Washington, Oregon, and California. I suspect there will be mornings this winter when the heat of sweltering +100º F days endured by riders will be fondly remembered.

Personally, I can handle the cold. It just takes the right gear. By the way, did you noticed the difference between the old and new wind chill charts/formula? The old windchill chart didn't indicated any decrease in chilled temperatures after 40mph. The new ones (2001) usually display the wind chill up to 60mph. Somehow, I think I'll feel warmer this winter if I keep using the old chart.


Old Chart/Formula


Current Chart/Formula

Winter precipitation in the Buckeye state is what puts the brakes on riding, though. And the Almanac says,"...above-normal snowfall for the Great Lakes and Midwest, especially during January and February, and above-normal precipitation for the Southwest in December and..." blah, blah blah...

They say the Almanac has an accuracy rate of around 80 - 85% which is probably as good as some weather guessers, I suppose. My take on it is this: Its a good place to find a compilation of historical meteorological data.

However, if you want to know the weather in your neighborhood, use this method...



From Google Images



Ride Safe.


4 comments:

Kano said...

Thanks for passing on the weather prediction for the west coast, good news indeed! -I love the Farmers Almanac and had almost forgot about it. Back in my "hippier" days I lived out in the sticks with no modern conveniences, like shitters for example. I used to sit in the outhouse and peruse both "The Old Farmers Almanac" (published continuisly since 1792) and the more recent copycat the plain old "Farmers Almanac". It was fun to compare forecasts between the two.

irondad said...

If you're going to freeze, might as well do it while having fun, right? Crank up that throttle. What's a few less degrees, anyway? Is there a point where the wind burn of speed makes up for the increase in wind chill? Hmmm, maybe someone should volunteer to find out!

RazorsEdge2112 said...

Hey Irondad... I volunteer! :-)

I LOVE riding in the cold. My first day of licensed riding was January 1st of this year. It was a chilly 25F here, and for Vegas, that's COLD! But I was out there riding. Even put 80 additional miles to the odometer.

Here in Vegas, in the summer, we have something similar to wind chill, just in the opposite direction. The apparent wind while riding when it is HOT (like 115F) is actually hotter than when standing still. I HATE that! The wind doesn't cool a rider, it actually heats them up! YUK!

I did want to thank you for putting a link to my website on your blog. I greatly appreciate it!

Doug C said...

Kano - I cannot say I've ever owned a copy of either but I saw one of them in the grocery store checkout.

irondad - You may be on to something there son. We need someone like John Glen or maybe Steve Austin!

Ken - Sounds like you have already demonstrated irondad's theory.

The past several days here have been hot but nowhere near LV temps (or Oregon temps for that matter).

The killer is its 55ºf in the mornings and 90ºf in the PM.

Your Coast to Coast Ride for NCADV is a worthy effort for a worthy organization. A ride like that is something that I think every rider contemplates at least once or twice...


Ride Safe.